Showing posts with label Johns Hopkins University registry. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Johns Hopkins University registry. Show all posts

Thursday, May 7, 2020

Corona-virus! Why are the most deaths in Europe from COD-19 in the UK?


As you know, according to official figures, the Coronavirus has killed more people in the UK than any other country in Europe. The epidemic has so far killed more than 30,000 people in the UK. As of Tuesday, the highest number of deaths from the coronavirus in Europe was recorded in Italy. According to the latest figures, 29,958 people have been killed in Italy so far. The disease has killed more than 74,000 people in the United States so far. But according to experts, these figures tell only part of the story. Sir David Spiegel Halter, a professor at the University of Cambridge, says we can say with certainty that all the reported figures are much lower than the actual number killed by the coronavirus. "We can say without fear that no country is doing well, but this is not a Eurovision and it is useless to try to rank them," he said.



Why are comparisons made? There are many challenges in comparing different countries. "Finally, international comparisons are very difficult," said Robert Jenrick, Britain's communications minister, in a briefing on Wednesday. "Other countries have different estimates of the virus," says Professor Yvonne Doyle, medical director of Health England. This makes international comparisons very difficult. The population of the United Kingdom is about 66 million while the population of Italy is about 60 million. In this regard, the death rate in the UK should be 10% higher than the per capita mortality rate in Italy. But that's not the case. How different countries collect death figures in different ways also needs to be taken into account. " Collects counts. So comparing them is mostly a futile endeavor. Apparently Italy and Britain are doing almost the same thing. Only tested and verified cases of Code-19 are included in our aggregate data.


Although it would not be wrong to say that the death toll in hospitals is almost accurate, it is not the case in care homes. Demographics or population statistics also play an important role in such comparisons. For example, we know that the coronavirus affects older people more severely than young people. Older people have more health problems that make coronavirus more dangerous. Italy has a high proportion of elderly people and very few young children among those severely affected by the virus. So if all other factors remain the same, you should expect more deaths from the coronavirus in Italy than in the UK. What is the death of the coronavirus? In the UK, the government relies on confirmed cases, although the Office for National Statistics also publishes data on each case that mentions code-19 on the death certificate. Regardless of whether it has been tested or not. Belgium has been named the world's most affected country by coronavirus mortality. Belgian officials say they are calculating in a way that no other country in the world is doing: they are counting deaths in hospitals and care homes, but they are also counting deaths in care homes that It is suspected that they are due to code-19 but they have not been confirmed. "People are making poor comparisons," said Professor Steven van Gogh, a Belgian urologist, and government spokesman. It is even more difficult to trust data from countries where the political system is tightly controlled. The death toll in China's population per million people is very low, although China had increased the death toll in Wuhan by 50 percent in the recount. Health experts say "access mortality" or " Mortality surplus should be kept in mind: this is the death rate in which the number of deaths in each country is higher than the number of deaths in almost the same days in previous years.
 

 But it takes time to get such data, and it can take months, if not years, to get a clear global picture of the effects of the epidemic. What went wrong in the UK? The most successful were those who did a lot of testing in the early stages of the epidemic and traced all the contacts of the affected people that they came in contact with. Germany and South Korea have far fewer deaths than in most affected countries. Tests per capita in the population may be a useful statistic for estimating low mortality rates. But not all testing data are the same. Some countries keep track of the people being tested, while others keep track of how many times they have been tested (many people have to be tested more than once to get the exact results). It is also important to consider the timing of the test and whether it was performed in most hospitals or in the community. Germany and South Korea initially conducted large-scale tests and learned how the virus was spreading. But Italy, which also did a lot of testing, suffered relatively more deaths. Italy actually increased its testing capabilities to a lesser extent when the epidemic had already spread. The same thing happened in Britain. Opposition MP Rozina Allen Khan, who has criticized the government's testing strategy In addition to the lack of testing, some criticized the British government for failing to provide Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) for medical and care staff. Is. In early April, NADRA Ahmed of the National Care Center said: 'The biggest problem we hear is that I desperately need a mask. Does anyone have gloves? I have the last pair in stock. Cabinet member Michael Go says that as of May 2, the UK's health and social care system had distributed 1.8 billion PPEs or personal safety items. However, according to the BBC's Panorama program, the PPE had more than half the surgical gloves, and in most cases the gloves were counted one by one instead of one pair. "You want to know why one country is doing better than others and what lessons you can learn from it," says Jason Oak, a professor at the University of Oxford. "Only then can we learn a lesson for the time to come," says Professor Oak.

Lockdown is a rare opportunity to eradicate sexually transmitted diseases


 Self-isolation has led to major changes in people's sex lives, but experts believe that because of the lack of relationships with new sexual partners these days, it is a sexually transmitted disease. Reducing STI permanently is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.
He says getting an STI test during a lockdown at home can be a 'game-changer', as people who are following the lockdown rules are not having sex with more than one person and thus become infected. Not even spreading.
Dr. John Maxwell, president of the British Association for Sexual Health and HIV told Radio 1 Newsbeat: "If we all test and treat infections, it will be a game-changer to move forward as people slowly return to normal. Are moving towards.
He and other sexual health professionals want people to be tested now, even if they have no symptoms.
Why test now?
The coronavirus has shut down 54% of sexual health services in the UK, and 38% of sexual health workers have been sent to other parts of the National Health Service.
This means that some people are getting advice on these diseases over the phone instead of going to the clinic, the diagnosis is being made here and in some cases the treatment is being done over the phone.
Justin Harbolt, of SH24, an organization that provides free home testing kits via the Internet, says: "If people start testing at home and everyone gets tested during this break, it's real life. There will be a one-time event. I don't think you have had a clean opportunity at the beginning of the HIV epidemic were, collectively, as a population, people have stopped having sex with new partners.
How HIV rates can be affected
It is more likely that someone can transmit the HIV virus when they have just been infected, as it is the most abundant virus in the body.
A positive HIV diagnosis during a lockdown means that it is more likely that a person will not have sex with other people during their most infected period. They can then begin treatment to bring the virus level in their body to a point where it is no longer visible, meaning it can no longer be transmitted to others.
Dr. Gary Whitlock, of London's Dean Street Clinic, where a quarter of UK homosexuals are diagnosed with HIV, says: 'We think there may be fewer people who are older. I am spreading disease on a large scale.

"If they start treatment, or become non-communicable, they can't transmit to anyone, so it's a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for us to be at high risk for HIV." Individuals should be tested.
The average number of people coming to Dean Street Clinic for a prescription for PEP (a drug that is taken immediately after contact with an HIV-infected person to prevent infection) during a lockdown is more than 50 a week. It has come down to less than 10.
STIs diagnosed during lockdown still need to be treated by specialists. Only chlamydia (an inflammatory disease of the urinary tract) can be treated with postal medication.
Dr. Maxorley hopes that there is an opportunity to limit diseases like syphilis to the history books.
"Earlier this year, syphilis reached a level we hadn't seen since World War II."
He believes that online help will also help people who live away from sexual health clinics, or those who have been too busy before and have not been able to get time from a doctor.
Although Dr. Whitlock believes that home testing can improve NHS services to some extent, he is also wary of taking services out of the clinic for some people.
The problem with home testing is that you may miss out on more testing. One of the concerns about gonorrhea, for example, is that it is resistant.
'Many of the services we offer are when people come to us, such as risk reduction advice, face-to-face counseling, and we need to make sure that when we are moving in that direction. So don't forget it.

Risk of early Death from too much sleep!

All experts agree that sleep quality affects health, but no method has been developed to determine sleep duration.
Many of us try to get eight hours of sleep a night, which is thought to be the right amount of sleep. But some experts say it's too much and think it's harmful to health.

We all know that sleep deprivation is not good for health. You feel tired, you are irritable due to lack of sleep and according to doctors it can lead to obesity, high blood pressure, diabetes, various heart diseases.

However, a recent ten-year study found that adults who sleep less than six hours or more than eight hours typically die before those who sleep more or less than that amount.

That is, people who sleep more or less than six hours to eight hours have a higher risk of dying early.

Image caption
Inadequate sleep has been linked to a variety of illnesses, including diabetes and obesity.
Franco Capuccio, a professor of cardiology and epidemiology at the University of Warwick, conducted 16 different studies in which more than a million people were asked about their sleep patterns and then referred to them.

Cappuccio has divided them into three broad groups.

  • Who sleep less than six hours
  • Who sleep between six and eight hours
  • Who sleep more than eight hours

They say that when people who slept less than six hours were contacted a second time than those who slept in the middle class, 12% of them had died. People who slept more than eight hours had a 30 percent higher death rate than those who slept with moderate sleep.

In other words, the risk of death from excessive sleep is as high as from alcohol, but relatively low compared to smoking.


Before the 17th century, people did not get seven or eight hours of sleep at a time while they slept at least twice.
But is nine hours of sleep more dangerous than five hours of sleep?

It can be seen in many ways. Professor Cappuccio is aware that prolonged sleep can be caused by depression or sleeping pills. They did not ignore it.

He personally believes that people who sleep for more than eight hours have a disease for which the symptoms are not yet clear. Therefore, in his opinion, prolonged sleep does not lead to premature death, but rather due to this hidden disease.

But not everyone agrees with him. A similar study was conducted by Arizona State University professor Sean Youngstead in which 14 young people were prepared to sleep eight to two hours more each night for three weeks.

He said he was more depressed, while Youngstead said he had more inflammation, especially high levels of a type of protein called IL-6, which is linked to inflammation. ۔


The young people surveyed also complained of swelling and back pain. This made Youngstead think that the problems associated with excessive sleep were not due to being inactive for too long.

He is currently researching sleep deprivation, which will be published soon.

Several problems sleep researchers face, one of which is that there is no way to determine the exact amount of sleep.

However, all experts agree that sleep quality affects health, but there is no way to determine the proper duration of sleep.

Dr. Greg Jacobs, a sleep therapist at Massachusetts Medical School, says: When it comes to getting the right amount of sleep, seven hours is a recurring theme.

Corona-virus update! Donald Trump affirms that EE. The USA will manage to develop the Covid-19 vaccine by the end of the year.

During a virtual meeting with voters that was broadcast on Fox News, the US president was convinced that his nation will reach the expected vaccine list before the end of 2020.

Convinced, this is how Donald Trump showed himself about the possibility that the United States could develop a vaccine against Covid-19 before the end of 2020. According to what the president said during a virtual meeting with voters that was broadcast by Fox News, although the scientific personnel prefer not to make hasty announcements, he is confident that they will achieve the objective. 
In the aforementioned issue, the 73-year-old magnate also made reference to the increase in the number of deaths registered in his nation due to the spread of the coronavirus the outbreak, which, until this May 3, has 67,680 deaths and 1,157,945 infections, according to the Johns Hopkins University registry.
"I will say what I think: I think we will have a vaccine sooner rather than later," said the president of the hypothesis handled so far, which realized that the vaccine would be ready, at an early stage, only until the month of January 2021. 

Despite the fact that the Republican leader did not specify the reasons that make him so sure of the near termination of a successful vaccine, he said that his scientific teams are going "very fast." However, when asked if he sees this sanitary process as a kind of competition, he replied that he is not interested in winning the title of being the first, but in getting a product that really works and that, if that way, another country succeeds before, he would take off his hat before them. 
The rise in death forecasts
And it is that, in the midst of the uncertainty caused by the pandemic, even Trump's forecasts have changed. While on April 20 he indicated that the outbreak would leave 60,000 dead in his country. Today, two weeks later, having passed the 67,000 barriers, he raised his projection to at least 80,000. 
In his responses, the President was clear in admitting that, while the death of up to 90,000 Americans cannot be considered a successful sample, it is preferable to register more than a million deaths that, in his opinion, are They would have filed if I hadn't ordered mobility restrictions and border closings. 
Regarding the news that accuses him of having ignored an alleged series of warnings by the intelligence agencies of his the country between the months of January and February about the risk of the virus spreading, he flatly denied having been aware of it, a Such a point of affirming that precisely this Monday, May 4, these agencies will publicly confirm that only on January 23 did they indicate that the disease would come, but that its "impact" would not be so lethal. 
Trump's account indicates that he had a conversation with members of the intelligence committee after which he made the determination to block contact with China and the import of its products. 
The race to repeat the mandate 
Beyond the border closings, the loss of lives and the economic crisis that already leaves more than 30 million applications for unemployment benefits, Trump is preparing for a new race, which, in the elections so far scheduled for the November 3, will define whether or not to get a repeat mandate. 
In that desperate course to stay in the White House, Trump is taking every opportunity possible to strengthen his empathy with his Republican supporters and attract new followers, just as he did by responding to those who, in this meeting through Fox, sent him your questions on video. 
Six months after the elections, Trump is playing his last cards to defend his candidacy as the best option to continue with the reins of American power, despite the questions that mark his administration by moles as his heavy-handed policy against immigrants.