Corona-virus! Why are the most deaths in Europe from COD-19 in the UK?

As you know, according to official figures, the Coronavirus has killed more people in the UK than any other country in Europe. The epidemic has so far killed more than 30,000 people in the UK. As of Tuesday, the highest number of deaths from the coronavirus in Europe was recorded in Italy. According to the latest figures, 29,958 people have been killed in Italy so far. The disease has killed more than 74,000 people in the United States so far. But according to experts, these figures tell only part of the story. Sir David Spiegel Halter, a professor at the University of Cambridge, says we can say with certainty that all the reported figures are much lower than the actual number killed by the coronavirus. "We can say without fear that no country is doing well, but this is not a Eurovision and it is useless to try to rank them," he said.

Why are comparisons made? There are many challenges in comparing different countries. "Finally, international comparisons are very difficult," said Robert Jenrick, Britain's communications minister, in a briefing on Wednesday. "Other countries have different estimates of the virus," says Professor Yvonne Doyle, medical director of Health England. This makes international comparisons very difficult. The population of the United Kingdom is about 66 million while the population of Italy is about 60 million. In this regard, the death rate in the UK should be 10% higher than the per capita mortality rate in Italy. But that's not the case. How different countries collect death figures in different ways also needs to be taken into account. " Collects counts. So comparing them is mostly a futile endeavor. Apparently Italy and Britain are doing almost the same thing. Only tested and verified cases of Code-19 are included in our aggregate data.

Although it would not be wrong to say that the death toll in hospitals is almost accurate, it is not the case in care homes. Demographics or population statistics also play an important role in such comparisons. For example, we know that the coronavirus affects older people more severely than young people. Older people have more health problems that make coronavirus more dangerous. Italy has a high proportion of elderly people and very few young children among those severely affected by the virus. So if all other factors remain the same, you should expect more deaths from the coronavirus in Italy than in the UK. What is the death of the coronavirus? In the UK, the government relies on confirmed cases, although the Office for National Statistics also publishes data on each case that mentions code-19 on the death certificate. Regardless of whether it has been tested or not. Belgium has been named the world's most affected country by coronavirus mortality. Belgian officials say they are calculating in a way that no other country in the world is doing: they are counting deaths in hospitals and care homes, but they are also counting deaths in care homes that It is suspected that they are due to code-19 but they have not been confirmed. "People are making poor comparisons," said Professor Steven van Gogh, a Belgian urologist, and government spokesman. It is even more difficult to trust data from countries where the political system is tightly controlled. The death toll in China's population per million people is very low, although China had increased the death toll in Wuhan by 50 percent in the recount. Health experts say "access mortality" or " Mortality surplus should be kept in mind: this is the death rate in which the number of deaths in each country is higher than the number of deaths in almost the same days in previous years.

 

 But it takes time to get such data, and it can take months, if not years, to get a clear global picture of the effects of the epidemic. What went wrong in the UK? The most successful were those who did a lot of testing in the early stages of the epidemic and traced all the contacts of the affected people that they came in contact with. Germany and South Korea have far fewer deaths than in most affected countries. Tests per capita in the population may be a useful statistic for estimating low mortality rates. But not all testing data are the same. Some countries keep track of the people being tested, while others keep track of how many times they have been tested (many people have to be tested more than once to get the exact results). It is also important to consider the timing of the test and whether it was performed in most hospitals or in the community. Germany and South Korea initially conducted large-scale tests and learned how the virus was spreading. But Italy, which also did a lot of testing, suffered relatively more deaths. Italy actually increased its testing capabilities to a lesser extent when the epidemic had already spread. The same thing happened in Britain. Opposition MP Rozina Allen Khan, who has criticized the government's testing strategy In addition to the lack of testing, some criticized the British government for failing to provide Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) for medical and care staff. Is. In early April, NADRA Ahmed of the National Care Center said: 'The biggest problem we hear is that I desperately need a mask. Does anyone have gloves? I have the last pair in stock. Cabinet member Michael Go says that as of May 2, the UK's health and social care system had distributed 1.8 billion PPEs or personal safety items. However, according to the BBC's Panorama program, the PPE had more than half the surgical gloves, and in most cases the gloves were counted one by one instead of one pair. "You want to know why one country is doing better than others and what lessons you can learn from it," says Jason Oak, a professor at the University of Oxford. "Only then can we learn a lesson for the time to come," says Professor Oak.